CO129-401 - Governor Sir May - 1913 [5-6] — Page 118

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that soon. The party and its methods suited the Revolution, but they have failed to rise to the occasion of the new conditions: in them Sun Yat Sin is himself all at sea, and entirely discredited. But the change in the South must wait word from the North, and Yuan

is the only man of sufficient prestige and capacity to give that

word.

The party in Canton has foreseen the evil day, and

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has "secretly" accumulated $4,000,000 of sub-coin against it thus assisting to aggravate their own currency difficulties way of paying their soldiery when the trouble begins: and they

have further declared their inability to remit any taxes to Peking,

and have talked big about fighting and separation. But it is held

as certain here that when it comes to the point, practically the

whole of such troops as there are in Canton would go over to Yuan,

Chan Kwing Ming, the General Commanding, is notoriously on bad

terms with the Governor General: Chan King Wa is certainly not on

good terms, and is at least an independent: and his hasty temper

and drastic methods have made him unpopular. All that would be

left to the Governor-General and the few that stand to lose their

opportunity by the establishment of a respectable government,

would be a small body guard with no public sympathy whatever. Mean-

-while Yuan knows all this very exactly: Liang Shih Yi's recent

visit was said to be just for the purpose of examining this very

aspect of the situation; and now Lung Chai Kwong (an able General)

is waiting at Wuchow it is said for orders from Yuan, and Wong Sz

Lung is either in the Province too or on his way. Further Yuan's

emissaries are at work in Canton; and the whole position is held to be so favourable to him, in spite of the blister of the Kwok

Man Tong, that when he chooses to act he will be almost universal-

-ly welcomed, and there will be little more than a skirmish or two,

if that.

But he is not expected to act at once: he must

establish his position in the North first -,be formally elected

President and see how he stands before dealing with recalcitranta in the South. It is impossible to estimate how long this will take:

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